Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers, 6th Edition

Published by Wiley
ISBN 10: 1118539710
ISBN 13: 978-1-11853-971-2

Chapter 2 - Section 2-2 - Interpretations of Probability - Exercises - Page 34: 2-71

Answer

a) $P(A)=0.3$ b) $P(B)=0.77$ c) $P(A')=0.7$ d) $P(A \cap B)=0.22$ e) $P(A \cup B)=0.85$ f) $P(A'\cap B)=0.55$

Work Step by Step

Given: Total observations = 100 A denotes sample is from supplier one. Thus, $n(A)=22+8=30$ B denotes that sample conforms to specifications. Thus, $n(B)=22+25+30=77$ Thus, a) $P(A)=30/100=0.3$ b) $P(B)=n(B)/100=77/100=0.77$ c) $P(A')=1-p(A)=1-0.3=0.7$ d) $P(A \cap B)=n(A \cap B)/100$ We can see from the data that number of events where sample is from Supplier 1 (A) and conforms to the specification = 22. Thus, $n(A \cap B)=22$ Thus, $P(A \cap B)=n(A \cap B)/100=22/100=0.22$ e) We know that: $P(A \cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cap B)$ Thus, $P(A \cup B)= 0.3+0.77-0.22=0.85$ f) We want to find suppliers that are not Supplier 1, ie. Supplier Two and Three, and who conform to the specifications. Thus, from the data: $n(A'\cap B)=25+30=55$ Thus, $P(A'\cap B)=55/100=0.55$
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