An Introduction to Mathematical Statistics and Its Applications (6th Edition)

Published by Pearson
ISBN 10: 0-13411-421-3
ISBN 13: 978-0-13411-421-7

Chapter 2 Probability - 2.3 The Probability Function - Questions - Page 31: 11

Answer

The probability of winning exactly once is 0.30.

Work Step by Step

Let A be the event that State’s football team wins Saturday’s game and let B be the event that State’s football team wins two weeks from now. We are given that, \[\begin{align} & P(A)=0.10 \\ & P(B)=0.30 \\ \end{align}\] And if \[({{A}^{C}}\cap {{B}^{C}})\]means losing both games, then \[P({{A}^{C}}\cap {{B}^{C}})=0.65\] We want to find the probability of winning exactly once; that means we need to find \[P((A\cap {{B}^{C}})\cup (B\cap {{A}^{C}}))\]. \[P((A\cap {{B}^{C}})\cup (B\cap {{A}^{C}}))=P(A\cup B)-P(A\cap B)\] By DeMorgan’s law, \[P({{A}^{C}}\cap {{B}^{C}})=P{{(A\cup B)}^{C}}=0.65\] \[\begin{align} & P{{(A\cup B)}^{C}}=1-P(A\cup B) \\ & P(A\cup B)=1-0.65 \\ & P(A\cup B)=0.35 \\ \end{align}\] \[\begin{align} & P(A\cap B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cup B) \\ & P(A\cap B)=0.10+0.30-0.35 \\ & P(A\cap B)=0.05 \\ \end{align}\] Therefore, \[\begin{align} & P((A\cap {{B}^{C}})\cup (B\cap {{A}^{C}}))=P(A\cup B)-P(A\cap B) \\ & P((A\cap {{B}^{C}})\cup (B\cap {{A}^{C}}))=0.35-0.05 \\ & P((A\cap {{B}^{C}})\cup (B\cap {{A}^{C}}))=0.30 \\ \end{align}\] The required probability is 0.30.
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