An Introduction to Mathematical Statistics and Its Applications (6th Edition)

Published by Pearson
ISBN 10: 0-13411-421-3
ISBN 13: 978-0-13411-421-7

Chapter 2 Probability - 2.3 The Probability Function - Questions - Page 31: 15

Answer

a)\[P({{X}^{C}}\cap Y)=\frac{1}{8}\] b)\[P(X\cap {{Y}^{C}})=\frac{1}{4}\]

Work Step by Step

(a) A coin is to be tossed four times, so there are 16 possible outcomes in sample space S: \[S=\left\{ \begin{array}{*{35}{l}} HHHH,\text{ }HHHT,\text{ }HHTH,\text{ }HTHH, \\ THHH,\text{ }HHTT,\text{ }HTHT,\text{ }THHT, \\ THTH,\text{ }TTHH,\text{ }HTTT,\text{ }THTT, \\ TTHT,TTTH,\text{ }HTTH,\text{ }TTTT \\ \end{array} \right\}\] Define events X and Y such that X: first and last coins have opposite faces Y: exactly two heads appear Hence, the possible outcomes of events X and Y are: $X=\{HHHT,\text{ }THHH,\text{ }HHTT,\text{ }HTHT,\text{ }THTH,\text{ }TTHH,\text{ }HTTT,\text{ }TTTH\}$ $Y=\{HHTT,\text{ }HTHT,\text{ }THTH,\text{ }THHT,\text{ }TTHH,\text{ }HTTH\}$ Assume that each of the sixteen head or tail sequences has the same probability. Since, there are 8 possible outcomes in event X and 6 in the event Y, their probabilities would be \[\begin{align} & P(X)=\frac{8}{16} \\ & P(Y)=\frac{6}{16} \\ \end{align}\] We know that \[P({{X}^{C}}\cap Y)=P(Y)-P(X\cap Y)\] For this we want to find \[P(X\cap Y)\]as: \[\begin{align} & (X\cap Y)=\{HHTT,\text{ }HTHT,\text{ }THTH,\text{ }TTHH\} \\ & P(X\cap Y)=\frac{4}{16} \\ \end{align}\] Therefore, \[\begin{align} & P({{X}^{C}}\cap Y)=P(Y)-P(X\cap Y) \\ & P({{X}^{C}}\cap Y)=\frac{6}{16}-\frac{4}{16} \\ & P({{X}^{C}}\cap Y)=\frac{2}{16} \\ & P({{X}^{C}}\cap Y)=\frac{1}{8} \\ \end{align}\] The required probability is \[\frac{1}{8}\]. (b) Define events X and Y such that X: first and last coins have opposite faces Y: exactly two heads appear And their probabilities are, \[\begin{align} & P(X)=\frac{8}{16} \\ & P(Y)=\frac{6}{16} \\ \end{align}\] We know that \[P(X\cap {{Y}^{C}})=P(X)-P(X\cap Y)\] For this we want to find \[P(X\cap Y)\]as: \[\begin{align} & (X\cap Y)=\{HHTT,\text{ }HTHT,\text{ }THTH,\text{ }TTHH\} \\ & P(X\cap Y)=\frac{4}{16} \\ \end{align}\] Therefore, \[\begin{align} & P(X\cap {{Y}^{C}})=P(X)-P(X\cap Y) \\ & P(X\cap {{Y}^{C}})=\frac{8}{16}-\frac{4}{16} \\ & P(X\cap {{Y}^{C}})=\frac{4}{16} \\ & P(X\cap {{Y}^{C}})=\frac{1}{4} \\ \end{align}\] The required probability is \[\frac{1}{4}\].
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