An Introduction to Mathematical Statistics and Its Applications (6th Edition)

Published by Pearson
ISBN 10: 0-13411-421-3
ISBN 13: 978-0-13411-421-7

Chapter 2 Probability - 2.4 Conditional Probability - Questions - Page 38: 15

Answer

$P(A|B) = \frac{1}{5} = 0.2$

Work Step by Step

Given $P(A \cap B^c) = 0.3$, $P((A \cup B)^c) = 0.2$ and $P(A \cap B) = 0.1$, To find $P(A|B)$ we will use the formula: $P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}$ Since $P(A\cap B)$ is given, we need to determine $P(B)$. $P((A \cup B) = 1-P((A \cup B)^c)$ $= 1-0.2 = 0.8$ We know that $P(A)=P(A\cap B)+P(A\cap B^c)$ $P(A)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A\cup B)+P(A\cap B^c)$ $P(B)=P(A\cup B)-P(A\cap B^c)=0.8-0.3=0.5$ Now we calculate $P(A|B)$: $P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)} = \frac{0.1}{0.5} = \frac{1}{5} = 0.2$
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