An Introduction to Mathematical Statistics and Its Applications (6th Edition)

Published by Pearson
ISBN 10: 0-13411-421-3
ISBN 13: 978-0-13411-421-7

Chapter 2 Probability - 2.4 Conditional Probability - Questions - Page 38: 16

Answer

$P(A) = 0.5$

Work Step by Step

Given $P(A) + P(B) = 0.9\quad\quad\quad(1)$ $P(A|B) = 0.5$ $P(B|A) = 0.4$. We have to find $P(A)$. $P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}\quad\quad\quad(2)$ $P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)}\quad\quad\quad(3)$ Using $(2)$ and $(3)$ we get that $\frac{P(A)}{P(B)} = \frac{P(A|B)}{P(B|A)} = \frac{0.5}{0.4}=\frac{5}{4}$ =>$P(B) = \frac{4P(A)}{5} = 0.8P(A)$ Putting the value in eq. $(1)$ we get, $P(A) + 0.8P(A) = 0.9$ $=> P(A) = \frac{0.9}{1.8} = \frac{1}{2} = 0.5$
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