An Introduction to Mathematical Statistics and Its Applications (6th Edition)

Published by Pearson
ISBN 10: 0-13411-421-3
ISBN 13: 978-0-13411-421-7

Chapter 2 Probability - 2.4 Conditional Probability - Questions - Page 38: 17

Answer

$\frac{2}{3}$

Work Step by Step

Probability that at least one of the two events occurs is $= P(A \cup B)$. The event that at most one occurs is $(A \cap B)^c$. The probability that at least one of the two events occurs given at most one occurs is $P ((A \cup B)|((A \cap B)^c))$. We have: $P((A \cup B)|((A \cap B)^c)) = \frac{P((A \cup B) \cap ((A \cap B)^c))}{P((A \cap B)^c)}$ = $\frac{P(A \cap B^c) + P(A^c \cap B)}{P(A \cap B^c) + P(A^c \cap B) + P((A \cup B)^c)}$ = $\frac{0.1+0.3}{0.1+0.3+0.2} = \frac{0.4}{0.6} = \frac{2}{3}$
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